Brazil vs Serbia


Genius soccer writers Simon Kuper and Stefan Szymanksi have derived a formula to work out who will win and lose at this year's World Cup.

GD(ij) = 0.137 log (pop(i)/pop(j)) + 0.145 log (y(i)/y(j)) + 0.739 log (exp(i)/exp(j)) (+ 0.657 home advantage for games involving Bafana Bafana)

The good news is, South Africa will reach the second round. The bad news is, when they get there they'll lose to South Korea. The weird news is, Serbia will reach the Final.